TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Knicks vs. Rockets
Volume:
$2,813,201
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the New York Knicks will face the Houston Rockets in an NBA game. Markets cover team moneyline, point spreads, total points, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists). All resolutions are based on final official NBA box scores including overtime, with 50-50 splits for full cancellations and continued holding for postponements.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event types: Kalshi settles on individual player assists thresholds across multiple players and threshold combinations, while Polymarket settles on traditional game outcomes (moneyline, spread, totals) and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) with standard O/U thresholds.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a complex OR-logic proposition where ANY of 30 different player-assist conditions trigger YES. On Polymarket, you are trading discrete markets on game winner, point totals, and individual player stats. These are entirely different market structures—Kalshi's outcome depends on whether at least one condition is met, while Polymarket markets are independent. Kalshi's market is far more likely to resolve YES due to the breadth of conditions; Polymarket markets are standard prop bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single composite market that resolves YES if ANY of 30 player-assist conditions are met across Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Josh Hart, and Jalen Brunson. The thresholds range from 2+ assists to 12+ assists. Example: 'If Alperen Sengun records 2+ Assists...then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 7) and 'If Jalen Brunson records 12+ Assists...then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 29). This is an OR-logic aggregation of multiple independent player performances.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA event structure: Polymarket offers 27 independent markets covering game outcomes (moneyline, spread, totals for full game and first half) and individual player performance props (points, rebounds, assists O/U). Each market resolves independently based on official NBA box scores. Example: 'Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5' resolves YES if Brunson records more than 6.5 assists, and 'Knicks vs. Rockets' resolves to the game winner. All markets reference 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' as the resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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