TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Knicks vs. Raptors
Volume:
$8,740,846
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both win conditions resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half variants) are unified across platforms with consistent thresholds and NBA.com as the official resolution source.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets 1-2 until clarification. For all other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half), resolution logic is consistent: use final box score from NBA.com, include overtime, resolve ties/postponements per platform rules, and resolve cancellations 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline (Markets 1-2): 'If New York wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve identically. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props) follow standard threshold logic consistent with Polymarket.
- Polymarket: Moneyline (Market 1): Resolves to 'Knicks' if Knicks win, 'Raptors' if Raptors win. Standard binary outcome. All spreads, totals, and player props use consistent greater-than thresholds with NBA.com as source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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