This event group covers the NBA game between the New York Knicks and Charlotte Hornets scheduled for March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either outcome (New York wins OR Charlotte wins), creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. Polymarket's markets resolve to a single winner or specific outcome per market, maintaining logical consistency across all 38 markets.
Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) — they contain a fatal logical flaw where both 'New York wins' and 'Charlotte wins' resolve to YES, making them unresolvable. All other markets (Polymarket's 38 markets) are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. If you hold Kalshi moneyline positions, seek immediate clarification from Kalshi support.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Both moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If New York wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves YES. This violates fundamental market logic. Quote: 'If New York wins the New York at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlotte wins the New York at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Aligned with sound market logic: All 38 markets resolve to mutually exclusive outcomes (Knicks vs. Hornets moneyline resolves to either 'Knicks' or 'Hornets', spread markets resolve to either team, player props resolve to Yes/No based on threshold). Quote: 'If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to Knicks. If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to Hornets.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.