TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Spurs
Volume:
$5,308,408
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Sacramento Kings and San Antonio Spurs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses independent point-threshold binary contracts (Yes if team exceeds threshold, No condition unstated), while Polymarket uses standard NBA game outcome derivatives (moneyline, spread, totals, player props). Kalshi markets lack explicit resolution source and No-condition specification.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket markets as separate contract families. Polymarket markets are standard NBA derivatives and resolvable against NBA.com official box scores. Kalshi markets require clarification on: (1) explicit No resolution condition, (2) official resolution source (NBA.com or other), and (3) handling of game postponement or cancellation. Do not assume Kalshi thresholds map to Polymarket outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 18 binary Yes/No markets on Sacramento and San Antonio individual team point totals. Resolution to Yes triggered if team exceeds specified point threshold. No explicit resolution source cited; No condition not defined. Example: 'If the number of points scored by Sacramento... is Above 92.5, then the market resolves to Yes.' Lacks tie-breaking, postponement, or cancellation rules.
- Polymarket: Standard NBA game outcome markets: moneyline (Kings/Spurs winner), spreads (Spurs -17.5, -18.5), totals (combined points O/U 226.5–230.5), first-half variants (1H moneyline, 1H spreads, 1H totals), and player props (points, rebounds, assists O/U). All reference official NBA.com box scores. Explicit rules for ties, postponement, and cancellation provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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