TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Raptors
Volume:
$8,560,521
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 1 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, and edge-case handling across 46 distinct markets. Kalshi provides a single market with fundamentally incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify winner determination, tie-breaking, or cancellation protocols, making it unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution rule 'If Toronto wins...then resolves to Yes' and 'If Sacramento wins...then resolves to Yes' creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable; Kalshi requires immediate clarification from the platform before settlement can occur.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 46 fully-specified markets covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants. Each market explicitly defines thresholds (e.g., 'Raptors win by 15 or more points' for -14.5 spread), tie-breaking rules ('If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to Kings'), cancellation protocols ('If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'), and postponement handling ('If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed'). Resolution source is consistently 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' or halftime score for first-half markets.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single market with logically broken resolution rules. The market states 'If Toronto wins the Sacramento at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Toronto win or Sacramento win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No resolution. The market lacks any specification of tie-breaking, cancellation, postponement, or source authority.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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