TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Hornets
Volume:
$9,453,569
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Sacramento wins OR Charlotte wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures outcome-specific markets (Kings win, Hornets win, spreads, totals) with mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it contains a fatal logical error where both teams winning triggers YES resolution. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props) on both platforms align correctly. Trade only on Polymarket or the non-moneyline Kalshi markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction in the moneyline market. The resolution rules state 'If Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins the Sacramento at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of the outcome, making it unresolvable. All other Kalshi markets (spreads, totals, player props) are not provided in the source data, so their consistency cannot be verified.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard betting logic: Provides 75 distinct outcome-specific markets with mutually exclusive resolution criteria. The moneyline resolves to 'Kings' if Kings win and 'Hornets' if Hornets win. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds. Totals resolve based on combined points. Player props resolve based on individual statistics. All resolution criteria are logically sound and non-contradictory: 'If the Kings win, the market will resolve to Kings. If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to Hornets.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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