The Los Angeles Kings will face the Vancouver Canucks in an NHL matchup scheduled for April 14 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets will resolve based on the final game outcome (Kings win vs. Canucks win) and combined goal totals across multiple over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). All resolutions include overtime and shootout results, with shootout winners receiving one additional goal for scoring purposes.
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. These are fundamentally different resolution bases that can produce different outcomes for the same game result.
Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's margin markets, you are betting on how decisively one team wins, not just who wins. On Polymarket, the moneyline only cares about winner, and the totals markets only care about combined scoring. A 3-1 Kings win resolves YES on Kalshi (margin >1.5), YES on Polymarket moneyline (Kings), and depends on total on Polymarket totals. A 1-0 Kings win resolves NO on Kalshi (margin not >1.5), but YES on Polymarket moneyline (Kings). Choose your platform based on whether you want to bet margin or pure winner/scoring.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on margin-of-victory thresholds only. All four markets require either team to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals: 'If Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' There is no moneyline or pure winner market, and no total-goals market.
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner (Kings vs. Canucks) and total combined goals (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). The moneyline market states 'If the Kings win, the market will resolve to Kings. If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to Canucks.' The totals markets resolve based on combined score: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Kings and Canucks combine to score 6 or more goals.' Polymarket also includes a spread market (Kings -1.5) that resolves 'Kings' if Kings win by 2 or more goals, otherwise 'Canucks'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.