TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Canucks
Volume:
$932,517
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 26 at 10:00 PM ET, the Los Angeles Kings will face the Vancouver Canucks in an NHL matchup. This event group captures three distinct prediction markets: the moneyline winner (Kings vs. Canucks), and four total goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5). All markets will resolve based on the final official NHL score, including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the moneyline outcome (Kings win OR Canucks win both resolve to Yes), creating a logical contradiction where every realistic scenario resolves Yes. Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (moneyline, over/under totals, spread) that resolve to mutually exclusive outcomes based on the same game.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's Kings vs. Canucks market — it is logically unresolvable as written because both possible outcomes (Kings win or Canucks win) are specified to resolve to Yes, guaranteeing a Yes resolution regardless of the actual game result. Trade only Polymarket's suite of markets, which have coherent, mutually exclusive resolution paths.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a critical logical contradiction. Both resolution conditions state 'the market resolves to Yes': 'If LA Kings wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If VAN Canucks wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (Kings win or Canucks win) results in Yes, making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate, mutually exclusive markets on the same game: (1) Kings vs. Canucks moneyline (Kings or Canucks), (2) Over/Under 4.5 goals, (3) Over/Under 5.5 goals, and (4) Over/Under 6.5 goals, plus a spread market (Kings -1.5). Each market has coherent, non-contradictory resolution logic tied to specific thresholds or outcomes. For example, the moneyline resolves to 'Kings' if Kings win or 'Canucks' if Canucks win — exactly one outcome per game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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