TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Volume:
$69,795
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the winner of the KHL ice hockey match between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl scheduled for March 28, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with shootout victories counted as a one-goal margin for resolution purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (binary: Spartak Moscow OR Lokomotiv Yaroslavl), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot coexist in the same market structure.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. On Polymarket, exactly one team name resolves YES and the other NO. On Kalshi, both outcomes resolve to YES, which violates standard binary market logic. Clarify with the platform operator whether Kalshi's market is actually a YES/NO binary or a multi-outcome market before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name as a categorical outcome. The market resolves to either 'Spartak Moscow' or 'Lokomotiv Yaroslavl' based on final score including overtime and shootouts (one goal added for shootout winner). This is a named-outcome market, not a binary YES/NO structure.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi states the market 'resolves to Yes' if Spartak Moscow wins AND 'resolves to Yes' if Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary YES/NO market, as both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve YES. The resolution criteria are contradictory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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