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400,720

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2,633

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KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
polymarket
kalshi

KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Volume:
$69,795

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

 - Kalshi

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,128
N/A
N/A
$22,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spartak Moscow

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,486
N/A
N/A
$18,137
Settled
No
polymarket

KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves based on the winner of the KHL ice hockey match between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl scheduled for March 28, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with shootout victories counted as a one-goal margin for resolution purposes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (binary: Spartak Moscow OR Lokomotiv Yaroslavl), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot coexist in the same market structure.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. On Polymarket, exactly one team name resolves YES and the other NO. On Kalshi, both outcomes resolve to YES, which violates standard binary market logic. Clarify with the platform operator whether Kalshi's market is actually a YES/NO binary or a multi-outcome market before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name as a categorical outcome. The market resolves to either 'Spartak Moscow' or 'Lokomotiv Yaroslavl' based on final score including overtime and shootouts (one goal added for shootout winner). This is a named-outcome market, not a binary YES/NO structure.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi states the market 'resolves to Yes' if Spartak Moscow wins AND 'resolves to Yes' if Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary YES/NO market, as both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve YES. The resolution criteria are contradictory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.