This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Spartak Moscow and Dinamo Minsk scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM EST. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Dinamo Minsk wins OR Spartak Moscow wins) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No state. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. Polymarket's binary outcome structure (Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Minsk) is logically sound and should be used as the reference framework. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi whether this is a drafting error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Market states: If Dinamo Minsk wins, resolve Yes. If Spartak Moscow wins, resolve Yes. This creates a tautology where any game outcome resolves to Yes, with no logical path to No resolution. Quote: 'If Dinamo Minsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Spartak Moscow wins...then the market resolves to Yes'.
Polymarket: Market uses clear binary outcome mapping: Spartak Moscow victory resolves to 'Spartak Moscow', Dinamo Minsk victory resolves to 'Dinamo Minsk'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Spartak Moscow win, the market will resolve to Spartak Moscow. If Dinamo Minsk win, the market will resolve to Dinamo Minsk.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.