TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. CSKA Moscow
Volume:
$20,344
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Sibir Novosibirsk and CSKA Moscow scheduled for March 16, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sibir win and CSKA win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses a standard binary winner-selection model.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot resolve correctly if both mutually exclusive outcomes produce identical results. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether the intended logic is: (a) Sibir win = Yes, CSKA win = No, or (b) something else entirely. Do not place trades until this is resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-selection model. Resolves to the name of the winning team (Sibir Novosibirsk or CSKA Moscow). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's final score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes logic. Market states both 'If Sibir Novosibirsk wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If CSKA Moscow wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.