TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. HC Sochi
Volume:
$4,968
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Salavat Yulaev Ufa and HC Sochi scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and resolves to YES for every possible outcome (both teams winning), making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner based on final score.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria state that the market resolves YES if HC Sochi wins OR if Salavat Yulaev UFA wins — meaning YES is guaranteed regardless of outcome. This is a critical data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, which has sound binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to a single winner based on final score including overtime and shootouts. 'If Salavat Yulaev Ufa win, the market will resolve to Salavat Yulaev Ufa. If HC Sochi win, the market will resolve to HC Sochi.' Exactly one outcome is possible per game.
- Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Resolves YES if HC Sochi wins OR if Salavat Yulaev UFA wins, guaranteeing YES regardless of outcome. 'If HC Sochi wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where all possible game outcomes map to the same resolution value.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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