TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk
Volume:
$968
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk and Sibir Novosibirsk scheduled for February 22, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this game, with different structural approaches to capturing the result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sibir win and Neftekhimik win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the contradiction is clarified. The market as written violates basic binary logic—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: trade there if you have conviction on the match outcome. Request Kalshi support to confirm whether one outcome should resolve to No, or if the market should be voided.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to the name of the winning team. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout rule: one goal added to winner's score for resolution purposes. Source: https://en.khl.ru/calendar/. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic. States 'If Sibir Novosibirsk wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk wins...resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to Yes, leaving no valid path to No. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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