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KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk
polymarket
kalshi

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk

Volume:
$46,495

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk

 - Polymarket

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 26, 2026

Closed: Mar 26, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Result
polymarket

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Metallurg Magnitogorsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,137
N/A
N/A
$8,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sibir Novosibirsk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,858
N/A
N/A
$7,403
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 12:00PM ET: If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to "Metallurg Magnitogorsk". If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to "Sibir Novosibirsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (binary outcome: Metallurg or Sibir), while Kalshi's rules create a logical contradiction where both teams winning would resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets as equivalent. Polymarket will resolve to exactly one team name. Kalshi's resolution rules are internally contradictory—both 'If Metallurg wins, resolve Yes' AND 'If Sibir wins, resolve Yes' cannot both be true in a single binary outcome. Clarify Kalshi's actual intent before placing bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to the name of the winning team in a binary outcome. Market resolves to 'Metallurg Magnitogorsk' if Metallurg wins, or 'Sibir Novosibirsk' if Sibir wins. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Key quote: 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to Metallurg Magnitogorsk. If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to Sibir Novosibirsk.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in its resolution rules. The market states 'If Metallurg wins, then resolve to Yes' AND 'If Sibir wins, then resolve to Yes,' which is impossible in a single binary market—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. This creates an unresolvable market. Key quote: 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Sibir Novosibirsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.