TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow
Volume:
$20,165
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Lokomotiv Yaroslavl and Spartak Moscow scheduled for March 26, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution frameworks.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win and Spartak Moscow win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution criteria are corrected. The market as written cannot be settled because both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be the preferred venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Market resolves to the name of the winning team (Lokomotiv Yaroslavl or Spartak Moscow) based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Shootout wins add one goal to winner's score. If game is postponed, market stays open. If canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50. Source: https://en.khl.ru/calendar/
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. States both: If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins, resolves to Yes AND If Spartak Moscow wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution value, violating basic binary market principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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