TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Volume:
$4,030
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Sochi and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (HC Sochi wins and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. This is a data integrity failure in the source specification.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the contradiction is clarified. Kalshi likely intended a standard binary (Yes/No) structure where one team winning = Yes and the other = No. Polymarket's mutually exclusive resolution logic is sound. Treat Polymarket as the reliable reference and wait for Kalshi clarification before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: HC Sochi win resolves to HC Sochi, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win resolves to Lokomotiv Yaroslavl. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both HC Sochi winning AND Lokomotiv Yaroslavl winning resolve to Yes. This violates basic binary market logic and makes resolution impossible as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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