TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Ak Bars Kazan
Volume:
$2,369
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Dynamo Moscow and Ak Bars Kazan scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (binary: Moscow or Kazan), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both platforms cannot resolve identically for the same game outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets settle identically. On Polymarket, exactly one of two outcomes resolves YES (Moscow wins OR Kazan wins). On Kalshi, both outcomes resolve to YES, which is logically impossible for a single game. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's market is actually a two-leg parlay, a data entry error, or uses different resolution mechanics before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket uses a binary categorical resolution where the market resolves to the name of the winning team. If Moscow wins, it resolves to 'HC Dynamo Moscow'; if Kazan wins, it resolves to 'Ak Bars Kazan'. Only one outcome can occur per game. Key quote: 'If HC Dynamo Moscow win, the market will resolve to HC Dynamo Moscow. If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to Ak Bars Kazan.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state that the market resolves to YES if either Moscow wins OR Kazan wins, which logically means YES resolves for all possible game outcomes (barring cancellation). This contradicts standard binary sports betting where only one team can win. Key quote: 'If HC Dynamo Moscow wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Ak Bars Kazan wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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