This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Dinamo Minsk and HC Dynamo Moscow scheduled for March 26, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (HC Dynamo Moscow win OR Dinamo Minsk win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to a No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction market.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is clarified. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's winner-take-all structure is logically sound and should be your primary reference for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Dinamo Minsk victory resolves to Dinamo Minsk, HC Dynamo Moscow victory resolves to HC Dynamo Moscow. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Quote: 'If Dinamo Minsk win, the market will resolve to Dinamo Minsk. If HC Dynamo Moscow win, the market will resolve to HC Dynamo Moscow.'
Kalshi: Contradictory binary logic: Both HC Dynamo Moscow winning AND Dinamo Minsk winning are stated to resolve to Yes, with no explicit No resolution path. Quote: 'If HC Dynamo Moscow wins... resolves to Yes. If Dinamo Minsk wins... resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.