This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Barys Astana and Lada Togliatti scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM EST. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Barys win and Lada win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses a standard winner-selection model with clear edge case handling.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the logical error is corrected by the platform. The market as stated violates basic binary logic. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard sports betting conventions.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Market definition states both "If HC Barys wins...resolves to Yes" and "If Lada Togliatti wins...resolves to Yes". This creates a logical impossibility where a single game outcome cannot produce two different resolution states, yet both outcomes are assigned the same Yes resolution. The market lacks a No outcome definition.
Polymarket: Market resolves to categorical outcome: "Barys Astana" if Barys wins, "Lada Togliatti" if Lada wins. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootout goals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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