TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for March 25 at 10:00AM ET: If Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg win, the market will resolve to "Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg". If Salavat Yulaev Ufa win, the market will resolve to "Salavat Yulaev Ufa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if EITHER Salavat Yulaev UFA wins OR Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins, meaning it resolves YES for all possible outcomes. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary choice between two mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the game result, making it impossible to lose. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with valid logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket structures this as a proper binary market where the market resolves to either 'Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg' or 'Salavat Yulaev Ufa' based on the final score including overtime and shootouts. 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi's rules state 'If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a tautology where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, including both teams winning simultaneously, which is impossible.
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