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KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
kalshi
polymarket

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Volume:
$39,391

HK Avangard Omsk

 - Kalshi

HK Avangard Omsk - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

HK Avangard Omsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,706
N/A
N/A
$10,698
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,867
N/A
N/A
$13,900
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for April 1 at 9:30AM ET: If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to "Avangard Omsk". If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win, the market will resolve to "Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Neftekhimik win OR Avangard win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team winning resolves to that team's name, creating a fundamental incompatibility in settlement outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — its rules guarantee YES resolution regardless of the actual game result, making it logically incoherent. Polymarket's market is resolvable and standard. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect either a rules correction or a disputed settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's rules state that if Neftekhimik wins the market resolves YES, AND if Avangard wins the market also resolves YES. This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome resolves to YES, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If HK Avangard Omsk wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary sports logic: Polymarket resolves to 'Avangard Omsk' if Avangard wins and 'Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk' if Neftekhimik wins, with clear differentiation between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to Avangard Omsk. If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win, the market will resolve to Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.