TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Volume:
$33,118
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Avangard Omsk and Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk scheduled for March 24, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves to Yes if EITHER Avangard Omsk wins OR Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk wins, which covers all possible outcomes of a completed game, leaving no scenario for a No resolution. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where one team's victory resolves to that team's name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically impossible to apply — both teams winning cannot both trigger Yes resolution. Polymarket's market is the only one with coherent settlement logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before expiration.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket structures this as a true binary outcome where the market resolves to the name of the winning team (either 'Avangard Omsk' or 'Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk'), with clear handling of postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split). The resolution is based on 'final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi's resolution criteria state 'If HK Avangard Omsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' which means both possible outcomes of a completed game trigger Yes resolution, leaving no valid condition for No resolution and making the market logically unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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