TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

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$107,351,958

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
polymarket
kalshi

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk

Volume:
$5,540

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk

 - Polymarket

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 8:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

HK Avangard Omsk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$1,036
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Metallurg Magnitogorsk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$953
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Avangard Omsk and Metallurg Magnitogorsk scheduled for February 27, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics and scope.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Avangard Omsk win OR Metallurg Magnitogorsk win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures this as a winner-take-all market with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be executed. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has well-defined winner-based resolution, explicit postponement rules, and cancellation protocols.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-based categorical resolution with three explicit outcomes: Avangard Omsk wins (resolves to Avangard Omsk), Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins (resolves to Metallurg Magnitogorsk), or game canceled with no makeup (resolves 50-50). Postponements keep market open. Shootouts add one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical logical flaw: states both 'If HK Avangard Omsk wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates an impossible scenario where every possible outcome triggers Yes, leaving No outcome undefined and market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.