TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Volume:
$5,540
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Avangard Omsk and Metallurg Magnitogorsk scheduled for February 27, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Avangard Omsk win OR Metallurg Magnitogorsk win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures this as a winner-take-all market with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be executed. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has well-defined winner-based resolution, explicit postponement rules, and cancellation protocols.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-based categorical resolution with three explicit outcomes: Avangard Omsk wins (resolves to Avangard Omsk), Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins (resolves to Metallurg Magnitogorsk), or game canceled with no makeup (resolves 50-50). Postponements keep market open. Shootouts add one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical logical flaw: states both 'If HK Avangard Omsk wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates an impossible scenario where every possible outcome triggers Yes, leaving No outcome undefined and market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.