TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Spartak Moscow
Volume:
$15,824
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Ak Bars Kazan and Spartak Moscow scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Spartak Moscow win OR Ak Bars Kazan win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the No outcome unreachable. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until corrected. The market is logically broken - both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is the only coherent version. Wait for Kalshi to clarify which team's victory triggers Yes vs No, or treat this as a platform error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive paths. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Includes shootout rule: one goal added to winner's score for resolution purposes. Coherent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic. Both possible outcomes map to Yes: 'If Spartak Moscow wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ak Bars Kazan wins...resolves to Yes.' No path to No resolution exists. Market is logically unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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