TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns (W)
Volume:
$1,326,142
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns women's college basketball game scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET at Texas. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with no ambiguity around the competitive result itself.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either team winning (both outcomes trigger YES), while Polymarket resolves to a categorical outcome naming the specific winner. This creates fundamentally different market structures and settlement logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market will resolve YES regardless of which team wins the game, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's market resolves to either 'Kentucky Wildcats' or 'Texas Longhorns' based on the actual winner, allowing you to bet on a specific team. Do not treat these as equivalent markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either Texas wins OR Kentucky wins. Both possible game outcomes trigger a YES resolution. Key quote: 'If Texas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to a categorical outcome naming the winner. If Kentucky wins, market resolves to 'Kentucky Wildcats'; if Texas wins, market resolves to 'Texas Longhorns'. Key quote: 'If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Kentucky Wildcats. If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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