TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Volume:
$1,174,575
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Kentucky Wildcats and Texas A&M Aggies scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (Texas A&M favored by 1.5–2.5 points), and over/under totals (158.5–161.5 combined points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both Texas A&M win and Kentucky win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is standard and resolvable. Spread and total markets are unified across platforms.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's moneyline as a data integrity failure and do not trade it. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals as the authoritative markets. All markets reference NCAA.org final score including overtime; postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Texas A&M wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kentucky wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. Spreads and totals are not provided by Kalshi in this data set.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Kentucky Wildcats' if Kentucky wins, 'Texas A&M Aggies' if Texas A&M wins — standard binary logic. Spreads (Texas A&M -1.5, -2.5) and totals (O/U 158.5, 159.5, 160.5, 161.5) all reference NCAA.org final score including overtime; postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.