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406,065

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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies
kalshi
polymarket

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Volume:
$1,174,575

Texas A&M

 - Kalshi

Texas A&M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas A&M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$467,540
N/A
N/A
$341,169
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 159.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 161.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 160.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kentucky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618,131
N/A
N/A
$436,048
Settled
No
polymarket

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Kentucky Wildcats and Texas A&M Aggies scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (Texas A&M favored by 1.5–2.5 points), and over/under totals (158.5–161.5 combined points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both Texas A&M win and Kentucky win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is standard and resolvable. Spread and total markets are unified across platforms.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's moneyline as a data integrity failure and do not trade it. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals as the authoritative markets. All markets reference NCAA.org final score including overtime; postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Texas A&M wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kentucky wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. Spreads and totals are not provided by Kalshi in this data set.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Kentucky Wildcats' if Kentucky wins, 'Texas A&M Aggies' if Texas A&M wins — standard binary logic. Spreads (Texas A&M -1.5, -2.5) and totals (O/U 158.5, 159.5, 160.5, 161.5) all reference NCAA.org final score including overtime; postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.