TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Volume:
$22,505,286
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Kentucky Wildcats and Iowa State Cyclones on March 22 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for any outcome (both Iowa State win AND Kentucky win trigger YES), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Kentucky Wildcats' or 'Iowa State Cyclones' based on the actual game outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of who wins the game. Trade only on Polymarket's winner market, which has proper binary resolution (Kentucky wins → 'Kentucky Wildcats', Iowa State wins → 'Iowa State Cyclones'). All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals) are sound.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a critical logical flaw. Both resolution conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning the market resolves YES if Iowa State wins AND ALSO YES if Kentucky wins. This creates a tautology where every possible outcome triggers YES, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Iowa St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound logic: Polymarket's winner market correctly implements binary resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes. Kentucky victory resolves to 'Kentucky Wildcats', Iowa State victory resolves to 'Iowa State Cyclones'. All derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically consistent and properly defined. Quote: 'If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Kentucky Wildcats. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.