This event group covers the men's college basketball game between the Kentucky Wildcats and Florida Gators scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET in Gainesville, Florida. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-12.5 and -13.5), and over/under totals at four different lines (152.5, 153.5, 154.5, 155.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Florida win and Kentucky win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets (spreads and totals) on both platforms are logically consistent.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely until the contradiction is corrected. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi spread/total markets are safe to trade. Resolution will be based on final score including overtime, with 50-50 split if game is canceled without makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains unresolvable contradiction: both 'If Florida wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Kentucky wins...resolves to Yes' are stated, creating a tautology where every outcome produces the same result. Source data integrity failure.
Polymarket: Moneyline market properly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: Kentucky Wildcats win resolves to 'Kentucky Wildcats', Florida Gators win resolves to 'Florida Gators'. Includes clear cancellation protocol (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup). Logically sound.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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