TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds
Volume:
$307,950
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Kent State Golden Flashes and Illinois State Redbirds on March 18 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on first-half regulation results (any outcome resolves YES), while Polymarket settles on full-game final scores with specific spread and total thresholds. These are incompatible resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. A Kalshi YES (first half result) is independent of Polymarket outcomes (full game spreads/totals). Kalshi's market is guaranteed to resolve YES regardless of game outcome; Polymarket markets depend on final score margins and combined points.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if Illinois State, Kent State, or a Tie occurs in the first half of regulation time only. The market states 'If Illinois St. is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Tie is the result of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning this market will always resolve YES regardless of first-half outcome.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple independent markets (moneyline, spreads at -6.5, -5.5, -4.5, -3.5, -2.5, -7.5, -8.5, -9.5, -12.5, -13.5, -14.5, -15.5, -16.5, -17.5, -18.5, -19.5, -21.5, -23.5, and totals at 140.5–158.5) all resolving on final full-game scores including overtime. For example, the -6.5 spread resolves YES for Illinois State only if they win by 7+ points; otherwise Kent State wins the market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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