TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK
Volume:
$277,888
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A professional Super Lig soccer match between Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for April 11, 2026. The event group contains three related binary markets on Polymarket (Fenerbahçe win, Kayserispor win, draw) and one catch-all market on Kalshi that resolves Yes for any outcome (Fenerbahçe win, draw, or Kayserispor win).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market is designed to resolve Yes for all possible match outcomes (Fenerbahçe win, draw, Kayserispor win), leaving no logical path to No resolution. This violates the fundamental binary structure of a prediction market and creates an unresolvable contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's catch-all market. It is structurally unsound. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead, which properly partition the outcome space. Verify with Kalshi whether cancellation or postponement without makeup was intended as a No condition.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets. Fenerbahçe win market: Yes if Fenerbahçe wins, No otherwise. Kayserispor win market: Yes if Kayserispor wins, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Exactly one resolves Yes per match outcome. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the draw market to Yes, others to No.
- Kalshi: Single catch-all market with three Yes conditions covering all possible outcomes: Fenerbahçe win = Yes, Draw = Yes, Kayserispor win = Yes. No condition is specified for any standard match outcome, making No resolution impossible under normal circumstances.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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