TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor
Volume:
$56,418
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Kasımpaşa SK and Alanyaspor.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Kasimpasa win, Alanyaspor win, or tie), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction that guarantees YES resolution regardless of match outcome. Polymarket's three binary markets (Kasimpasa win, Alanyaspor win, draw) are the only resolvable contracts in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Kasimpasa wins resolves YES only if Kasimpasa wins, (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, (3) Alanyaspor wins resolves YES only if Alanyaspor wins. Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source: official TFF statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Alanyaspor wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Kasimpasa wins... resolves to Yes.' All three outcomes trigger YES resolution, creating a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of actual match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.