TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor
polymarket
kalshi

Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor

Volume:
$56,418

Kasımpaşa SK

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 19, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 7:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kasımpaşa SK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kasimpasa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,660
N/A
N/A
$5,157
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alanyaspor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alanyaspor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,002
N/A
N/A
$3,830
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,988
N/A
N/A
$4,461
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Kasımpaşa SK and Alanyaspor.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Kasimpasa win, Alanyaspor win, or tie), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction that guarantees YES resolution regardless of match outcome. Polymarket's three binary markets (Kasimpasa win, Alanyaspor win, draw) are the only resolvable contracts in this group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Kasimpasa wins resolves YES only if Kasimpasa wins, (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, (3) Alanyaspor wins resolves YES only if Alanyaspor wins. Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source: official TFF statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Alanyaspor wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Kasimpasa wins... resolves to Yes.' All three outcomes trigger YES resolution, creating a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of actual match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.