This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Kansas State Wildcats and Colorado Buffaloes scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -6.5 and -7.5, and over/under totals at 161.5, 162.5, and 163.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Colorado win and Kansas State win) map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid outcome for a No resolution and making the market unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead, which has clear binary outcomes. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent with each other.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both "If Colorado wins... resolves to Yes" and "If Kansas St. wins... resolves to Yes" with no specification of what triggers a No resolution. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game outcome produces the same market result.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to "Kansas State Wildcats" if Kansas State wins or "Colorado Buffaloes" if Colorado wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Clear, unambiguous binary structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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