This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Kansas Jayhawks and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -6.5 and -7.5, and over/under totals at 145.5, 146.5, and 147.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unresolvable and meaningless. All other markets (spreads and totals) on both platforms are consistent.
Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline is a data entry error and should not be traded. All spread and total markets resolve consistently: final score determines outcome, overtime counts, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory resolution logic where both Kansas win and Iowa State win resolve to Yes, making it impossible to differentiate outcomes. Quote: 'If Kansas wins...resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic resolving to either Kansas Jayhawks or Iowa State Cyclones based on winner. Quote: 'If the Kansas Jayhawks win, the market will resolve to Kansas Jayhawks. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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