This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Kansas City Roos and North Dakota State Bison scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, multiple point spread variations, and over/under total points wagering.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (KC win or NDSU win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely due to the contradictory resolution logic. Trade Polymarket's clearly defined moneyline, spreads, and totals instead. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes/No based on a specific team winning, or if this is a documentation error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Kansas City Roos if KC wins, or North Dakota State Bison if NDSU wins. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (NDSU -19.5, -20.5, -18.5 require wins by 20, 21, 19+ points respectively). O/U markets resolve Over if combined score is 148+ or 149+ points. All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: If Kansas City wins, resolves to Yes. If North Dakota St. wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No. Key quote: If Kansas City wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If North Dakota St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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