Kahrabaa Ismailia FC and Petrojet SC will compete in an Egyptian Premier League match on April 6, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-outcome sporting event (home win, away win, or draw).
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (draw, Petrojet win, Kahrabaa win) where exactly one outcome resolves YES and the others resolve NO, while Kalshi offers a single market where ANY of the three outcomes (Petrojet win, Kahrabaa win, or tie) resolves to YES. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: under Kalshi's rules, the market always resolves YES regardless of match result, making it unresolvable as a prediction market.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market structure as presented—it violates basic prediction market logic by guaranteeing a YES resolution for every possible match outcome. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only coherent settlement framework. Clarify with Kalshi whether their market should resolve YES only if a specific outcome occurs, or if this is a data entry error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets. Market 1 resolves YES if draw, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES if Petrojet wins, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES if Kahrabaa wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If Petrojet SC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Petrojet wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kahrabaa Ismailia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure guarantees YES resolution for every possible match outcome, creating a logical impossibility for a prediction market. Key quote: 'If Petrojet wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kahrabaa Ismailia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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