Date inconsistency across platforms (June 27 vs June 28) and divergent cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket and Predict resolve canceled matches to YES for draw but NO for wins, while Limitless treats non-completion as YES for draw and NO for wins. Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance.
Hero Tip:
Verify the official FIFA World Cup 2026 schedule to confirm the correct match date. Understand that if the match is canceled without rescheduling, draw markets on Polymarket and Predict will pay out YES while win markets pay NO. On Limitless, the same scenario triggers YES for draw and NO for wins. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation terms. Request clarification from each platform on their cancellation protocol before the event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Resolves YES if Jordan wins, Argentina wins, or tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins... If Jordan wins... If Argentina wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Limitless: Jordan and Argentina win markets resolve YES only if those teams win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO. Draw market resolves YES if draw occurs OR if match is not completed with official result by July 28, 2026, 02:00 UTC. Quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 28, 2026, 02:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.' and 'This market will resolve to YES if the match specified in the title ends in a draw... or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 28, 2026, 02:00 UTC.'
Polymarket: Jordan and Argentina win markets resolve YES only if those teams win; resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if draw occurs OR if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Jordan and Argentina win markets resolve NO if canceled entirely with no make-up; draw market resolves YES if canceled entirely with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.