Kalshi contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to YES. Additionally, Limitless has a one-day date discrepancy (June 23 vs June 22), and Polymarket/Predict diverge on draw cancellation semantics.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket or Predict as primary resolution sources. Be aware that Limitless may reference June 23 while the official match is June 22, 2026. Clarify cancellation scenarios with platform support before trading draw markets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Jordan win, Algeria win) are stated to resolve to YES. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Critical data integrity failure.
Limitless: Markets dated June 23, 2026 (one day after other platforms). Draw market resolves YES if match incomplete by July 23, 2026, 03:00 UTC, creating an unusual incompletion-equals-draw rule. Key Quote: 'or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 23, 2026, 03:00 UTC'.
Polymarket: Markets dated June 22, 2026. Draw resolves YES only if match ends in draw, but also resolves YES if match is canceled with no make-up. Jordan and Algeria win markets resolve NO if canceled. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw only).
Predict: Markets dated June 22, 2026. Identical logic to Polymarket: draw resolves YES on cancellation, but Jordan and Algeria win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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