TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jets vs. Utah
Volume:
$1,248,719
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Winnipeg Jets will face the Utah Hockey Club (formerly Utah Mammoth) in an NHL regular season game. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts, with shootout winners receiving one additional goal for scoring purposes. Polymarket offers moneyline and totals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), while Kalshi offers a binary Yes/No on either team winning.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves to YES if either team wins (binary outcome), while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team name (ternary outcome with Jets/Utah/50-50 cancellation). This creates fundamentally different settlement values despite addressing the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you win if either Jets or Utah wins. On Polymarket, you must pick the specific winner. Avoid cross-platform hedging on the moneyline — the resolution structures are incompatible. The Over/Under and Spread markets on Polymarket are independent of Kalshi's binary structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi uses a binary YES/NO structure that resolves YES if either UTA Mammoth or WPG Jets wins the game, with no distinction between outcomes. The rule states 'If UTA Mammoth wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If WPG Jets wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a single YES outcome regardless of which team prevails.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket's moneyline market resolves to the specific team name ('Jets' or 'Utah'), not a binary YES/NO. The rule states 'If the Jets win, the market will resolve to Jets. If the Utah win, the market will resolve to Utah,' creating two distinct outcomes. Additionally, Polymarket includes cancellation logic ('If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'), which Kalshi does not address.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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