TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jets vs. Blackhawks
Description
On March 31, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, the Winnipeg Jets will play the Chicago Blackhawks in an NHL regular season game. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner (Jets vs. Blackhawks), (2) total goals scored (Over/Under at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds), and (3) margin of victory (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal spreads). All outcomes are determined by final regulation, overtime, and shootout scoring, with shootout victories credited as +1 goal to the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic for the same game. Kalshi resolves on margin-of-victory thresholds (spread outcomes), while Polymarket resolves on total goals scored (over/under outcomes) and moneyline. These markets cannot logically coexist: a single final score cannot simultaneously satisfy Kalshi's spread conditions and Polymarket's total-goals conditions in a predictable, unified manner.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets will resolve identically. If you bet on Kalshi's spread markets (Jets -1.5, margin thresholds), your outcome depends on goal differential. If you bet on Polymarket's over/under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 totals), your outcome depends on combined goals. A Jets 3-1 win resolves YES on Kalshi (Jets -1.5) but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which total line you chose. Verify your position on each platform independently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on margin-of-victory thresholds. Markets resolve YES if Winnipeg wins by over 2.5 goals, Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 goals, Chicago wins by over 1.5 goals, or Chicago wins by over 2.5 goals. This creates four separate YES conditions based on goal differential, not total goals or moneyline outcome.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on total combined goals (over/under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and moneyline (Jets vs. Blackhawks winner). These markets are independent of margin-of-victory; they depend on aggregate scoring and which team wins, not by how much. A 3-1 Jets win resolves YES on Polymarket moneyline but may resolve YES or NO on Polymarket totals depending on the line, while simultaneously resolving YES on Kalshi's Jets -1.5 spread.
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