Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang on March 18, 2026, considering only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official K League statistics as recognized by the governing body (kleague.com) or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Market 1 (Jeonbuk Win) resolves YES if Jeonbuk wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
Polymarket Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; YES also if the game is canceled with no make-up; NO otherwise.
Polymarket Market 3 (Anyang Win) resolves YES if Anyang wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
Kalshi Markets 1-3 collectively cover all three outcomes (Anyang win, Jeonbuk win, Tie) and resolve YES for whichever outcome occurs in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one outcome will occur: either Jeonbuk wins, Anyang wins, or the match ends in a draw.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's Draw market resolves YES and the Win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets align with the actual outcome if rescheduled, or follow the same cancellation logic.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the game is completed. Resolution is delayed but the underlying logic remains unchanged.
Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's Draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a draw outcome), while Jeonbuk Win and Anyang Win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's markets follow the same principle: no winner is declared, so only a Tie outcome would apply.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official K League statistics (kleague.com). If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as a fallback on both platforms.
Scope: Regular Time Only: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties. Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by K League or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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