TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashiwa Reysol
kalshi
polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashiwa Reysol

Volume:
$76,767

United Chiba

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

United Chiba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,066
N/A
N/A
$19,334
Settled
Yes
polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kashiwa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,474
N/A
N/A
$15,153
Settled
No
polymarket

Kashiwa Reysol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,697
N/A
N/A
$4,864
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashiwa Reysol)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Japan J1 League soccer match between JEF United Ichihara Chiba and Kashiwa Reysol scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation logic is internally inconsistent: the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while the win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not address cancellation at all, creating platform-level ambiguity.Hero tip: Traders should note that if the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market will pay out while win markets will not. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Hedge accordingly or wait for official J-League confirmation before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Kashiwa win (Yes if Kashiwa wins, No if canceled), Chiba win (Yes if Chiba wins, No if canceled), and draw (Yes if draw, Yes if canceled). Cancellation creates a logical split: draw pays out, wins do not. Primary source is official J-League statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three outcomes, all resolving to Yes if they occur (Chiba win, Kashiwa win, or tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Resolution scope is 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.