TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jazz vs. Lakers
Volume:
$4,326,017
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 8:30PM ET: If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (Utah wins OR Los Angeles wins), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads, and totals with different thresholds and settlement values. Kalshi's market structure does not differentiate between spread outcomes or total points, creating fundamentally different resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on which team wins the game. On Polymarket, you can bet on specific spreads (Lakers -17.5, -16.5, -15.5, -14.5, -13.5), specific point totals (O/U 235.5, 236.5, 237.5, 238.5), and first-half outcomes. A Lakers win by 10 points resolves YES on Kalshi but resolves to Jazz on all Polymarket spread markets. Ensure your bet matches your intended outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single binary moneyline market that resolves YES if either Utah or Los Angeles wins the game scheduled for April 12, 2026. The market structure states 'If Utah wins the Utah at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Los Angeles L wins the Utah at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both outcomes resolve to YES, making the market non-discriminatory between the two teams.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 10 separate markets covering moneyline (Jazz vs. Lakers), five spread markets (Lakers -17.5, -16.5, -15.5, -14.5, -13.5), four total markets (O/U 235.5, 236.5, 237.5, 238.5), first-half spreads (Lakers -8.5, -7.5), first-half total (O/U 115.5, 116.5), and first-half moneyline. Each market has distinct resolution thresholds: 'This market will resolve to Lakers if the Lakers win the game by 18 or more points' (for -17.5 spread), with different point differentials for each spread market, and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Jazz and Lakers combine to score 236 or more points' (for 235.5 total), with different combined-score thresholds for each total market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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