TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchs (W)
Volume:
$9,828
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between James Madison Dukes and Old Dominion Monarchs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic (Yes for either outcome) is logically contradictory and unresolvable for a competitive two-team event. Polymarket provides the only coherent categorical resolution framework.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until its specification is corrected. The Kalshi terms as written cannot distinguish between a James Madison win and an Old Dominion win, making settlement impossible. Polymarket is the only platform with valid, resolvable terms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure that resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Quote: 'If Old Dominion wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If James Madison wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution.
- Polymarket: Categorical winner-selection structure that resolves to either 'James Madison Dukes' or 'Old Dominion Monarchs' based on final score. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the James Madison Dukes win, the market will resolve to James Madison Dukes. If the Old Dominion Monarchs win, the market will resolve to Old Dominion Monarchs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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