This event group covers a men's college basketball game between James Madison Dukes and Georgia State Panthers scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 JMU), and total points (O/U 142.5 and 143.5), with resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (JMU win and Georgia St. win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Contact Kalshi support to clarify the intended resolution logic (likely should be Yes for JMU win, No for Georgia St. win, or vice versa). Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are safe to trade and will resolve based on final game score.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (JMU or Georgia St.). Spread (-1.5 JMU) resolves JMU if they win by 2+, otherwise Georgia St. Totals (142.5 and 143.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, else Under. All markets: postponement = remain open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50. Source: NCAA.org.
Kalshi: Market states: 'If James Madison wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Georgia St. wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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