TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
Volume:
$768,316
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Jacksonville State Gamecocks and Sam Houston Bearkats scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers moneyline, multiple spread, and over/under total markets. Kalshi offers a binary yes/no market that resolves yes if either team wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sam Houston win or Jacksonville State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The contradiction makes it impossible to determine a valid resolution path. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are all logically sound and can be traded with confidence pending game completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six distinct markets with unified logic: moneyline resolves to winning team; three spread variants (-8.5, -7.5, -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds; three total variants (149.5, 148.5, 147.5) resolve based on combined points. All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) clauses. Resolution includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Single binary market with critical flaw: states 'If Sam Houston wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Jacksonville St. wins... resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, creating logical impossibility. No clear No condition exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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