TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Florida Ospreys (W)
Volume:
$22,225
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Jacksonville Dolphins and North Florida Ospreys scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Both platforms are predicting which team will win this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution for any game outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the specific winning team. The underlying event (game winner) is identical, but the resolution mechanism and payout structure differ.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's payout model before entering. On Kalshi, you are betting the game occurs and resolves (Yes). On Polymarket, you are betting on a specific team outcome. Both resolve based on the same final score, but the market mechanics are incompatible for direct arbitrage.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure. Both possible game outcomes (North Florida win or Jacksonville win) resolve to Yes. The market only resolves No if the game is canceled or not played.
- Polymarket: Categorical structure with two named outcomes. Resolves to either 'Jacksonville Dolphins' or 'North Florida Ospreys' based on final score. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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