TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights
Volume:
$5,158,993
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Jacksonville Dolphins and Bellarmine Knights scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 145.5, 146.5, and 147.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Jacksonville win and Bellarmine win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure, not a threshold or timing difference.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market specification is broken and cannot be settled. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets, which have consistent and resolvable logic across all six offerings.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Jacksonville Dolphins if Jacksonville wins, or Bellarmine Knights if Bellarmine wins. Spreads and totals use standard thresholds. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Jacksonville Dolphins win, the market will resolve to Jacksonville Dolphins. If the Bellarmine Knights win, the market will resolve to Bellarmine Knights.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Jacksonville wins... resolves to Yes. If Bellarmine wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible and unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Jacksonville wins the Jacksonville at Bellarmine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bellarmine wins the Jacksonville at Bellarmine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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