A college basketball game between Jackson State Tigers and Alcorn State Braves scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 for each team), and total points over/under (149.5 and 150.5). Resolution is based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible outcomes (Alcorn St. wins OR Jackson St. wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket markets are well-formed and consistent across all SKUs.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. It is impossible for this market to resolve to No under the stated rules. Trade only the Polymarket contracts (moneyline, spreads, and totals), which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Five well-formed markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to Jackson State Tigers or Alcorn State Braves based on winner. (2-3) Spread markets resolve based on margin (Jackson State -1.5 or Alcorn State -1.5). (4-5) Total markets resolve Over/Under at 150.5 and 149.5 thresholds. All use final score including overtime; postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Single market states: If Alcorn St. wins, resolve Yes. If Jackson St. wins, resolve Yes. No explicit No outcome is defined. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game outcome maps to Yes, violating binary market semantics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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