This event group covers a women's college basketball game between IU Indy Jaguars and Green Bay Phoenix scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (IU Indy win and Green Bay win) are stated to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary market. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify the intended resolution logic before trading. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard winner-determination logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-determination market. Resolves to 'IU Indy Jaguars' if IU Indy wins; resolves to 'Green Bay Phoenix' if Green Bay wins. Includes clear postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory specification. States both 'If IU Indy wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Green Bay wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates an impossible condition where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, violating binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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