This event group covers a women's college basketball game between IU Indy Jaguars and Cleveland State Vikings scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both IU Indy win and Cleveland State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until this contradiction is resolved. The market cannot settle correctly as written. Use Polymarket as your reference framework: IU Indy win = IU Indy Jaguars, Cleveland State win = Cleveland State Vikings, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome structure with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths. IU Indy victory resolves to IU Indy Jaguars; Cleveland State victory resolves to Cleveland State Vikings. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states both IU Indy win and Cleveland State win resolve to Yes. This violates binary market logic and creates an impossible settlement condition. No contingency rules provided for postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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